Category: Decision Making
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Academics And Managers
The application of research is a big topic in marketing and academics and managers would be well served by acting together more. Is Useful Important? We debate whether we are useful or relevant. And then we debate whether we should care about whether we are useful or relevant. I think of myself as an academic…
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Storytelling: Not An Insult. But You Need Cogent Stories
Critics often label evolutionary psychology “just so stories”– fanciful storytelling. This has become a popular criticism. “Just so stories” is a fantastic phrase. It is so evocative and damning. Serious scholars even use it to justify not reading evolutionary psychology. The critics sometimes have a point. I agree that some research relies on dubious arguments.…
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Good And Bad Profits
Fred Reichheld is best known for his (over) exuberant advocacy of the Net Promoter Score. Introducing Net Promoter he suggests a difference between good and bad profits; an interesting, though theoretically imprecise, idea. Are All Dollars In The Same? Short of outright fraud, isn’t one dollar of earnings as good as another? Certainly, accountants can’t…
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Regression to the Mean
Daniel Kahneman likes to explain an epiphany he had teaching decision-making. (The story is so good you realize you’ll never come up with as perfect an illustration, but then comparing yourself to a Nobel prize winner is never good for the ego). Kahneman was instructing the Israeli Air Force. He announced that rewarding good performance…
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Measuring Competition 2: The Bendle Panda Index
The Herfindahl Index covered in the prior post is an excellent way of measuring competition. Sadly it involves squaring market shares. This seems too much math so in the spirit of simple metrics I’m suggesting a new measure of competitiveness; the BPI or The Bendle Panda Index. It makes Net Promoter look complex and Gigerenzer…
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Measuring Competiton 1 The Herfindahl Index
The competitiveness of any industry matters. One way to measure competitiveness is the Herfindahl Index, also known as the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index. Competition Changes Market Outcomes Consumers usually get a bad deal in “concentrated” markets. This is because markets with fewer significant players usually mean less competition. This matters to managers too. If you are considering entering…
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A Reason To Be Cheerful
This post from 2013 is a hopeful one about declining overt bias found in polling. While we have had reasons to worry in the intervening years I still stand by the idea that declining overt bias is a good thing. We may not be perfect. I think this is pretty obvious to all, but, at…
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Winning And Political Marketing
Winning and political marketing go together like curry and naan. You can have one without the other but it isn’t ideal. As a former political party Finance Director I would have cried if someone had suggested deliberately not using the best techniques we could to win. (More robust staff would probably have washed the person’s…
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Nostalgia
Nostalgia is a major problem for human beings. No, things weren’t better when you were a kid. You just didn’t notice the problems. The Better Angels of Our Nature If the past is a foreign country, it is a shockingly violent one. It is easy to forget just how dangerous life used to be, how deeply brutality…
